McCain taps Palin for VP!

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Post by ç i p h é r »

fluffmonster wrote:No, of course not and don't attribute claims to people that they never made. That's like asking someone out of the blue why they beat their wife. Nobody said people should be millionaires or that it should be a government objective to make them so.
Well, I tried to interpret your meaning, but since that isn't what you meant, I'm at a loss as to what you do mean. Can you elaborate?
You are the one overlooking the "whole lot of factors". Not everything that leads to success or even middle-class comfort is just given to people at birth. There's education and values and health. If you never get the skills, if you can't stay healthy, or even if you have to spend all your time caring for a family member who is ill, you are denied the Dream. What you are doing is taking for granted a lot which many people cannot.
No, I believe there are a whole lot of factors, but in the end it's what you make of what you have that determines where you end up. Nothing more.
That only supplements my argument and undermines yours, but you're missing it because you have failed to put these facts in an appropriate context. The number of people in poverty has grown more in absolute terms. But a big increase in millionaires...seems pretty consistent with widening inequality to me...more for the top, f*sk the bottom.
No, no. I'm responding to this statement:
The truth is that under republicans the last 60 years, social mobility is reduced, not increased; social inequality goes up; and economic growth goes down perhaps as much as a full percentage point depending on how you look at it. For the vast majority of us, where you end up in life is most directly dependent on how your parents ended up.
The new millionaire record set in 2004, and the unprecedented development of the last 15 years, directly contradict your statement. From the early 1990's to 2006, Republicans held the majority in Congress, first under a Democratic President and then under a Republican President. In that time, we have experienced a technology boom, a stock market boom, a housing boom. Entire towns exist now that didn't exist before. The number of millionaires has increased by 21%, and that's not just the rich getting richer, that's new people becoming rich. How does this represent declining social mobility and a declining economy?

Since the credit crisis in the financial markets last year, the economy has clearly taken a downturn. But that's not a consequence of bad policy or even Republican policy for that matter. Republicans lost majority in 2006.
Doesn't say anything about small businesses or entrepreneurial success, there or anywhere else inthe piece.
For that you need to look at the demographics of millionaires.
You take it on faith that you only have to work hard to have the high life, and anybody who sits at the bottom only does so because they're too lazy. This doesn't even begin to consider the fact that it is never solely the efforts of anyone that contributes to their wealth...people only get that way at all in the context of the society that supports it. I'd like to see all those people try to be millionaires in Somalia no matter how awesome they supposedly are.
But this is pure baloney fluff. We're not talking about what it takes to succeed in Somalia. We're talking about what it takes to succeed in America. Nor am I saying that hard work without opportunity will be fruitful. I'm saying that America offers opportunity in spades and those who seek those opportunities and work hard at them will find success. If you don't believe that, then what more is required?
You also misinterpret the 60-year timeframe I used...it is a plain fact that there has been more growth and less inequality under democratic administrations than under republican administrations. No one ever claimed that growth was negative under either as you imply was said by retorting that we're not worse off. Very sloppy logic.
Rather than telling me it's true, why don't you support your argument with some actual evidence?
Nobody claims everyone has a right to be a millionaire. Nobody is even claiming that we need to stop people from being millionaires. What we do need to do is invest in our future in ways that the market won't, and give the less fortunate just enough of a base to succeed or fail on their own. That has to be paid for, and the naked fact is that the rich can best afford to pay for it.
By base, I presume you mean an education? Ok, well let's take a look at the US Department of Education budget history and see what that tells us:

http://www.ed.gov/about/overview/budget ... istory.pdf

In 1980, the education budget was ~14M. This year, the education budget is ~62M, which is more than twice the budget under Bill Clinton - a Democrat - FWIW. Now I don't know what your idea of a sufficient base is - I think we were already there before the budget mushroomed under Bush, but let's put that aside for now - but if our education funding has increased dramatically, and lack of education is a primary cause of the social decline you speak of, why have things not improved [among the most needy] in your opinion?

If you believe that we need to be paying more than 62M for education (I won't ask you to prove it, but we'll assume that it is), how much more do we (or the rich) need to pay and what do you expect to get back in return?

Is there anything else that needs to be done?

In conclusion, I'll agree with you on one thing: Republican policy has been atrocious in terms of spending. They have not been mindful stewards of our hard earned money. Now Mulu thinks government shouldn't be run like business, but I think that's precisely how it needs to be run.

p.s. Mulu, the smears on Obama have never been brought up in a thread in ALFA (that I've participated in at least). OGR brought the issue of smears into this conversation, so I've responded to it.
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Post by ç i p h é r »

Mulu wrote:
ç i p h é r wrote: But here's the thing. If you're ACTUALLY interested in ethics reform, these cops are exactly the sort of bad apples you would get rid of
Funny how the only one she cared about was the one divorcing her sister.
That's the only one making news.
And on the economy, let's not forget child poverty is at an all time high too. Here's my crayon graphic that drove HF so nuts.
Image
The data provided by the census bureau contradicts what you are saying:

http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/poverty/ ... 7fig04.pdf

Looking at the chart, 1959 was the all time high, followed by 1993, though it has increased since 2000.

Besides the factual inaccuracies though, it's nice that you're trying to cherry pick data. You never seem to mention the gobs of spending on education or fighting AIDs in Africa. You should love Dubya on spending. I don't know why you don't.
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Post by Mulu »

I won't deny he's done good work in Africa.

Alright, "all time high" in the last 30 years. I'll have to go back and get my original data....

[edit] Son of a gun, I was bamboozled by bad data... it was an outdated extrapolation not a measure. [/edit]

Well, even so, Clinton dropped child poverty several percentage points during his presidency, and Bush raised it.
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Post by Swift »

That video is indeed truely awesome :D
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Mulu wrote:I won't deny he's done good work in Africa.

Alright, "all time high" in the last 30 years. I'll have to go back and get my original data....

[edit] Son of a gun, I was bamboozled by bad data... it was an outdated extrapolation not a measure. [/edit]

Well, even so, Clinton dropped child poverty several percentage points during his presidency, and Bush raised it.
Son of a gun.
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Post by Vendrin »

So you got time to post but not to play PD? Lame
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Vendrin wrote:So you got time to post but not to play PD? Lame
I was just playing the guitar if that counts. . .

Okay, I'll come on.
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Session is over now.
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Post by HATEFACE »

ç i p h é r wrote:That's pretty funny spin. I've not seen a million dollar loaf of bread in the United States. We're on the dollar here, not the rupie. It's not as much as it was in 1940, but it is still an extraordinary amount of money. Feel free to perform an "inflation adjusted" analysis, if that floats your boat, but it should be noted that this was a 21 percent increase from the prior year.
Oh yeah?! Take this!
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Post by NickD »

Back to Palin...

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/section/2/sto ... d=10530889

Overall, it says women are more likely to vote Obama over McCain now because of the selection of Palin, however, there are a number who go against the herd.
But then there's Chrissie Peters. The 37-year-old librarian from Bristol, Tennessee has always voted Democratic and supported Clinton. She assumed she'd vote for Obama - until she saw Palin speak. Now she's voting Republican.

"She was so down-to-earth, a regular person," says Peters.

"She hasn't been in politics her whole life, so she isn't jaded or tainted. And I love that she's a mum. Yes, I disagree with some of her positions, but that's what this country is about."
"We've always been a few weeks ahead of the polls," says the founder of the JustSayNoDeal website, a clearinghouse for groups of disaffected Clinton supporters seeking to punish the Democratic Party and Obama for what they see as inexcusable treatment of Clinton.

Mantouvalos hasn't decided whom she'll support in November. But she believes many former Clinton supporters will end up voting for McCain. And she thinks Palin will help make that happen.

"I was there," Mantouvalos says of Palin's convention speech.

"I was blown away. She seemed so confident in her own skin."

And what about all the issues on which Palin differs so sharply from Clinton?

"Principle trumps issues for this group," she says of her and others like her.
That's not the case for self-described "Clinton die-hard" Amy Goldman.

The consultant from Edgewater, New Jersey, says she'd been leaning toward McCain for a while, but his pick of Palin sealed the deal.

"His pick goes outside the box," said Goldman, 52, who like Mantouvalos is involved in the internet-based efforts to challenge the Democratic party.

"I'm not being bitter by voting this way. I really think they're a great ticket."
"I really respect the fact that she has five children and a career, and keeps her family strong," said Hunter.
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Post by Mulu »

Biden wrote:Rick Davis, John’s Campaign manager said two days at the convention and I heard this. He said this election is not about issues. That’s what he said. And everything I saw at the convention demonstrated that. It was about how well placed — and boy she is good, how a left jab can be stuck pretty nice,” Biden said, throwing his own shadow punch. “It’s about how Barack Obama is such a bad guy”

“What do you talk about when you have nothing to say? What do you talk about when you cannot explain the last 8 years of failure?” he asked, answering “you talk about the other guy.”

Biden, who is urged to take on Palin forcefully in their upcoming debate at nearly every campaign stop, told the crowd at a union hall in Northeast Philadephia that he’ll follow the model of Harry Truman. “When they yelled at Harry Truman “give em hell, Harry,” he yelled back I’m not gonna give ‘em hell, I’m going to tell them the truth and they’re going to think it’s hell,” Biden said.

Attack of the Internet!!!!
The notion that the far right, anti abortion, creationist, book banning Palin is going have any traction with middle of the road voters even if they are women is a paradox that is never explained by all the pundits on the right
You've got to hand it to the Repugs. Once again, they have managed to up the Jerry Springer quotient of the national debate: 'I'll see your pants-suit yuppie mom and self-made, educated black man, and raise you a white-trash, party hack mom from nowhere.'
McCain calls himself a maverick, but he's pretending to rebel against a system he's been a major part of for the last 27 years...
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Post by ç i p h é r »

“What do you talk about when you have nothing to say?"
....
You've got to hand it to the Repugs. Once again, they have managed to up the Jerry Springer quotient of the national debate: 'I'll see your pants-suit yuppie mom and self-made, educated black man, and raise you a white-trash, party hack mom from nowhere.'
Also, the first is a variation of the Republican attacks on Obama, which was What do you talk about when you have no record?
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Post by Mulu »

ç i p h é r wrote:
“What do you talk about when you have nothing to say?"
....
You've got to hand it to the Repugs. Once again, they have managed to up the Jerry Springer quotient of the national debate: 'I'll see your pants-suit yuppie mom and self-made, educated black man, and raise you a white-trash, party hack mom from nowhere.'
Also, the first is a variation of the Republican attacks on Obama, which was What do you talk about when you have no record?
Yes, but that's not from the campaign Cipher, hence the "Attack of the Internet" precursor. :roll:

Those comments below the Biden quote came from comments sections and forums like this one. In other words, combining Biden's observation with Internet attacks, VP candidate Palin is engaging in the same level of discussion as an ALFA forum user. :P

In fact right now the Obama campaign is drowning in their own hyper-detailed wonkishness on the issues. When was the last time you heard Obama say anything quote worthy? The convention. Since then it's been the details of Social Security and economic policy. In response to the lowering of the bar by McCain/Palin, they took the wonk road. I think it was a wrong turn personally, they risk boring the electorate to death ala John Kerry.
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Post by Swift »

Mulu wrote:In fact right now the Obama campaign is drowning in their own hyper-detailed wonkishness on the issues. When was the last time you heard Obama say anything quote worthy? The convention. Since then it's been the details of Social Security and economic policy. In response to the lowering of the bar by McCain/Palin, they took the wonk road. I think it was a wrong turn personally, they risk boring the electorate to death ala John Kerry.
Wait wait wait.

So instead of talking about policies, they should be shooting for empty sound bites?

No wonder politics is so fucked up. Maybe im just completely ass backwards, but seeing candidates making soundbites is not what i look for, especially for ones that are new on the scene. I want to hear their plans, not just rhetoric and verbal jabs at their opponents, because in the end, trash talking doesn't solve any problems.
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Post by Grand Fromage »

Most people still get whatever little information they glean about politics from TV news, especially the cable networks. TV news does not (for the most part; there are exceptions out there) spend time on detailed policies, they play a couple soundbites and have some people you've never heard of yell at each other for a bit over the implications of said sound bites. Also people don't pay enough attention to absorb complex policy information.

The Kerry comparison is a little off since Kerry wasn't much of a candidate, had no oratory skill and the personality of a wet cardboard box, but there is truth in it. Kerry was constantly made fun of for being intellectual, and while it may not have cost him the election, it certainly didn't help. People already accuse Obama of snobbery for his intellectualism. When you consider the sources of the accusations it becomes quite ridiculous (my favorite being the heiress to the Rothschild fortune calling him elitist from her 3,200 acre estate), but those things are much more easily digestible than nuanced policy descriptions.
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